Shahid Batalvi Speaks

with apology to Black Elk for he speaks first

Quis custodiet ipsos custodes?

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Who will guard the guardians?


Written by Shahid Batalvi

July 1, 2013 at 9:57 pm

Posted in Analysis

Fourth Wave – It doth not just cometh, the world be now in its throes

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India. USA. Turkey. Brazil. Protests.
Wikileaks. NSA leaks.

Fourth Wave. It is here.
Pay no heed to the words of jLaLi FaqeeR for he is a mad seer.

Fourth Wave by jLaLi FaqeeR
June 19, 2009

“The information age has facilitated access to all information, anywhere, anytime but still somewhat in a tethered i.e. wired environment when observed from a global perspective. Harmonization of wireless technology platforms combined with evolution and convergence of services and service enablers will result in the untethered availability of any information to anyone globally. This will be the great equalizer for mankind. The impact and implications of this revolution on human society are going to be exponentially greater than those of the agrarian, industrial or information revolutions as such. The fact that the impact, of the prior waves or revolutions, has taken substantial time to permeate the entire planet has been one of the key drivers of man made inequality and inequity, which in turn has led to an imbalance of access, development, production, supply, demand and consumption of our planet’s resources.

This fourth wave will permeate into human society at a relatively faster pace and will result in becoming the great equalizer for mankind. The implication is not that it solves the geo-political or socio-economic ills of human society but provides a platform that serves as an equalizer. It would be no different than the use of the “Atlatl” as early as the Upper Paleolithic age (c. 30,000 BC) by Homo Sapiens. The Atlatl, as a device, became the social equalizer in that it required skill rather than mere muscle power. Information will become available to all through the Fourth Wave as an equalizer. Best use of this information, to overcome lingering global inequality and inequity, will also depend more on skill rather than mere muscle power.

Power structure of the world will fundamentally change in the Fourth Wave. It will become increasingly more and more challenging to continue to overtly or covertly disenfranchise the mass of society from the actual control structure, from an intra-nation perspective. Global economic or political advantage, competitive and comparative, maintained through control on information will rapidly diminish and geo-political balance will evolve from an inter-nation perspective.

The man on the street uses the Atlatl (mobile device with media capture), the spear (services such as twitter, facebook and YouTube) and throwing skills (unmarked IP addresses, foreign hosted websites) to develop the equalizer against the muscle power of an entire regime.”

Written by Shahid Batalvi

June 21, 2013 at 1:34 pm

Posted in Analysis

Nature Endures – Redux

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‎“Nature endures. Nature endures through balance in the cycles of life and manifests these cycles through seasons in brief moments and climate over extended periods of time. Man in his selfishness is trying to impose an unnatural balance and nature is trying to hint that what is not natural is not sustainable. Man shrugs his shoulders and walks. The day nature shrugs its shoulders, man will have no shoulders left to shrug. Nature will endure long after man is gone.” – jLaLi FaqeeR

Republished from: The Guardian | The Observer
Saturday 13 April 2013
John Vidal

Millions face starvation as world warms, say scientists

World is unprepared for changes that will see parts of Africa turned into disaster areas, say food experts

Millions of people could become destitute in Africa and Asia as staple foods more than double in price by 2050 as a result of extreme temperatures, floods and droughts that will transform the way the world farms.

As food experts gather at two major conferences to discuss how to feed the nine billion people expected to be alive in 2050, leading scientists have told the Observer that food insecurity risks turning parts of Africa into permanent disaster areas. Rising temperatures will also have a drastic effect on access to basic foodstuffs, with potentially dire consequences for the poor.

Frank Rijsberman, head of the world’s 15 international CGIAR crop research centres, which study food insecurity, said: “Food production will have to rise 60% by 2050 just to keep pace with expected global population increase and changing demand. Climate change comes on top of that. The annual production gains we have come to expect … will be taken away by climate change. We are not so worried about the total amount of food produced so much as the vulnerability of the one billion people who are without food already and who will be hit hardest by climate change. They have no capacity to adapt.”

America’s agricultural economy is set to undergo dramatic changes over the next three decades, as warmer temperatures devastate crops, according to a US government report. The draft US National Climate Assessment report predicts that a gradually warming climate and unpredictable severe weather, such as the drought that last year spread across two-thirds of the continental United States, will have serious consequences for farmers.

The research by 60 scientists predicts that all crops will be affected by the temperature shift as well as livestock and fruit harvests. The changing climate, it says, is likely to lead to more pests and less effective herbicides. The $50bn Californian wine industry could shrink as much as 70% by 2050.

The report lays bare the stark consequences for the $300bn US farm industry, stating: “Many agricultural regions will experience declines in crop and livestock production. The rising incidence of weather extremes will have increasingly negative impacts on crop and livestock production. Climate disruptions have increased in the recent past and are projected to increase further over the next 25 years.

“Critical thresholds are already being exceeded. Many regions will experience declines in crop and livestock production from increased stress due to weeds, diseases, insect pests and other climate change-induced stresses. Climate disruptions to agricultural production have increased in the recent past and are projected to increase further”.

Lead author Jerry Hatfield, director of the US government’s national laboratory for agriculture and the environment, said that climate change was already causing weather extremes to worsen. Very hot nights, fewer cool days and more heatwaves, storms and floods have already devastated crops and will have “increasingly negative” impacts, he said.

The report follows recent disastrous harvests in Russia, Ukraine, Australia and the US. In 2010, climate-driven factors led to a 33% drop in wheat production in Russia and a 19% drop in Ukraine. Separate climate events in each case led to a 14% drop in Canada’s wheat output, and a 9% drop in Australia.

A separate US government-funded study of the fertile Lower Mekong basin, which includes Vietnam, Cambodia, Thailand and Laos, states that temperatures there could rise twice as much as previously expected, devastating food supplies for the 100 million people expected to live there by 2050. “We’ve found that this region is going to experience climate extremes in temperature and rainfall beyond anything that we expected”, says Jeremy Carew-Reid, author of the Climate Change Adaptation and Impact Study for the Lower Mekong.

Two major food security summits are being held in Ireland, organised by UN World Food Programme, the CGIAR Research Programme on Climate Change and the Mary Robinson Climate Justice foundation.

Ertharin Cousin, the UN’s World Food Programme director, said: “We are entering an uncertain and risky period. Climate change is the game changer that increases exposure to high and volatile food prices, and increases the vulnerability of the hungry poor, especially those living in conflict zones or areas of marginal agricultural productivity. We must act quickly to protect the world’s poorest people.”

Written by Shahid Batalvi

April 15, 2013 at 6:11 pm

Posted in Humanity

Revelation Redux

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“Shariah means ‘path to the water source’. The first shariah was revealed by Nature to bacteria, the first sentient beings on this planet. Bacteria know their path to water.” – jLaLi FaqeeR

“Revelation is nothing more than expression of divine inspiration. All sentient beings are capable of divine inspiration. Religion may not be the cause or consequence of it.” – jLaLi FaqeeR

Written by Shahid Batalvi

April 11, 2013 at 8:27 am

Posted in Analysis

City of Memories

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“Reh ja’oon ga chal’tay chal’tay
ShaMa ke ma’nind jal’tay jal’tay”

“One day I will stop for I can walk no more
Like the burning candle that glows no more”

Ijaz Husain Batalvi
September 7th, 1923 – March 7th, 2004

Written by Shahid Batalvi

March 8, 2013 at 9:12 pm

Posted in Personal, poetry

And what is Jahalat, Phaedrus?

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“Organized Fear is the mother of Willful Ignorance. Both rule humans through their manifest perversity.” – jLaLi FaqeeR

Willful Ignorance occurs when an individual will choose to disregard the facts that they may be aware of or simply not acknowledge them. A self-induced or externally motivated perpetuation of Willful Ignorance eventually results in the metastasization of Jahalat.

Jahalat, in and of itself, is the predictive behavioural outcome which, in turn, is the manifestation of the continual recurrence of Willful Ignorance.

“Jahalat is boundless but teaching Jahalat is a crime against humanity.” – jLaLi FaqeeR

Organized Fear comes in many forms and is perpetrated by various interest groups for their self serving benefits. These interest groups associate themselves with cultural, ethnic, religious, economic, national and other such constructs and, in turn,  create and propagate narratives to induce said Organized Fear in certain humans such that it overpowers their cognitive, analytical and rational abilities and they are unable to question these narratives. Over time, this Organized Fear gives birth to Willful Ignorance and its perpetuation results in Jahalat.

Written by Shahid Batalvi

February 26, 2013 at 10:09 pm

Posted in Analysis

Chasing the wrong demons

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“When you chase the wrong demons, the real ones run ahead of you in the mist, let you fall through the gap and watch you tumble down the abyss. This is how individuals die before their time, societies collapse and civilizations perish.” – jLaLi FaqeeR

Written by Shahid Batalvi

October 27, 2012 at 7:11 pm

Posted in Analysis